Who is better, O'Brien or Noguchi?
Dan O'Brien leads with a GOAT score of 85.1 against 85.0 for Mizuki Noguchi — a gap of 0.1 points on GOAT Rank's weighted model.
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Quick answer
GOAT Rank currently ranks Dan O'Brien above Mizuki Noguchi: 85.1 vs 85.0. Dan O'Brien leads on Honours, Dominance. Mizuki Noguchi leads on Longevity, Peak.
How the GOAT Score is calculated →O'Brien wins: Dominance, Honours
Noguchi wins: Peak, Longevity
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Showing full careers. Pick a window to recalculate the selected period.
O'Brien leads in 3 of 5 weighted categories.
Cumulative output season by season — the shape of each career against the other.
| Ghost race · career day | 30 | 100 | 365 | 1000 | 1825 | 3650 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇺🇸 O'Brien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17,170 | 61,099 |
| 🇯🇵 Noguchi | 0 | 0 | 40 | 92 | 316 | 654 |
Careers are aligned from debut; the first 5 season periods are measured against the same career window.
| Metric | O'BrienRetired | NoguchiRetired |
|---|---|---|
| Olympic golds | 1 | — |
| World Championship golds | 3 | — |
| World records | 1 | — |
| Best score (points) | 8,891 | — |
| US titles | 7 | — |
| Olympic gold medals | — | 1 |
| World Championship medals | — | 1 |
| Marathon personal best in seconds | — | 7,740 |
| Major marathon wins | — | 3 |
| Asian records set | — | 1 |
| Dominance w25% | 86 | 84 |
| Peak w20% | 92 | 94 |
| Longevity w20% | 74 | 78 |
| Honours w20% | 86 | 82 |
| Statistics w15% | 88 | 88 |
Dan O'Brien leads with a GOAT score of 85.1 against 85.0 for Mizuki Noguchi — a gap of 0.1 points on GOAT Rank's weighted model.
Noguchi scores higher on peak, longevity. O'Brien leads on dominance, honours.
Both are scored on peak, dominance, honours, statistics, longevity within their sport. O'Brien: 85.1, Noguchi: 85.0.
Make your case for O'Brien vs Noguchi. The scoring is published in full — if you can point at the pillar or the weight you disagree with, we read it. Read the methodology paper.