Who is better, Fredericks or Thugwane?
Josia Thugwane leads with a GOAT score of 83.5 against 83.4 for Frank Fredericks — a gap of 0.1 points on GOAT Rank's weighted model.
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Quick answer
GOAT Rank currently ranks Josia Thugwane above Frank Fredericks: 83.5 vs 83.4. Josia Thugwane leads on Peak, Dominance. Frank Fredericks leads on Longevity.
How the GOAT Score is calculated →Thugwane wins: Dominance, Peak
Fredericks wins: Longevity
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Showing full careers. Pick a window to recalculate the selected period.
Thugwane leads in 4 of 5 weighted categories.
Cumulative output season by season — the shape of each career against the other.
| Ghost race · career day | 30 | 100 | 365 | 1000 | 1825 | 3650 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇳🇦 Fredericks | 0 | 0 | 72 | 154 | 426 | 774 |
| 🇿🇦 Thugwane | 0 | 0 | 35 | 79 | 265 | 621 |
Careers are aligned from debut; the first 5 season periods are measured against the same career window.
| Metric | FredericksRetired | ThugwaneRetired |
|---|---|---|
| Olympic silver medals | 4 | — |
| World Championship golds | 1 | — |
| World Indoor golds | 1 | — |
| Personal best 100 m | 9.86 | — |
| Personal best 200 m | 19.68 | — |
| Olympic gold medals | — | 1 |
| Marathon personal best in seconds | — | 7,642 |
| National titles | — | 3 |
| Olympic marathons contested | — | 2 |
| Marathon wins | — | 5 |
| Dominance w25% | 80 | 82 |
| Peak w20% | 90 | 94 |
| Longevity w20% | 84 | 78 |
| Honours w20% | 80 | 80 |
| Statistics w15% | 84 | 84 |
Josia Thugwane leads with a GOAT score of 83.5 against 83.4 for Frank Fredericks — a gap of 0.1 points on GOAT Rank's weighted model.
Fredericks scores higher on longevity. Thugwane leads on peak, dominance.
Both are scored on peak, dominance, honours, statistics, longevity within their sport. Fredericks: 83.4, Thugwane: 83.5.
Make your case for Fredericks vs Thugwane. The scoring is published in full — if you can point at the pillar or the weight you disagree with, we read it. Read the methodology paper.