Who is better, Kiptum or van Niekerk?
Kelvin Kiptum leads with a GOAT score of 83.0 against 82.9 for Wayde van Niekerk — a gap of 0.1 points on GOAT Rank's weighted model.
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Quick answer
GOAT Rank currently ranks Kelvin Kiptum above Wayde van Niekerk: 83.0 vs 82.9. Kelvin Kiptum leads on Dominance, Peak, Statistics. Wayde van Niekerk leads on Longevity, Honours.
How the GOAT Score is calculated →Kiptum wins: Dominance, Peak, Statistics
van Niekerk wins: Longevity, Honours
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Showing full careers. Pick a window to recalculate the selected period.
Kiptum leads in 3 of 5 weighted categories.
Cumulative output season by season — the shape of each career against the other.
| Ghost race · career day | 30 | 100 | 365 | 1000 | 1825 | 3650 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇰🇪 Kiptum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 🇿🇦 van Niekerk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44.38 | 219.09 |
Careers are aligned from debut; the first 5 season periods are measured against the same career window.
| Metric | KiptumRetired | van NiekerkActive |
|---|---|---|
| Marathon world record in hours | 2 | — |
| Marathon majors won | 3 | — |
| Marathons under 2:02 | 3 | — |
| Career marathons | 4 | — |
| Marathon wins | 3 | — |
| Olympic golds | — | 1 |
| World Championship golds | — | 2 |
| 400 m world record (s) | — | 43.03 |
| World records | — | 1 |
| Sub-44 races | — | 7 |
| 200 m best (s) | — | 19.84 |
| Dominance w25% | 88 | 82 |
| Peak w20% | 98 | 92 |
| Longevity w20% | 60 | 72 |
| Honours w20% | 78 | 82 |
| Statistics w15% | 92 | 88 |
Kelvin Kiptum leads with a GOAT score of 83.0 against 82.9 for Wayde van Niekerk — a gap of 0.1 points on GOAT Rank's weighted model.
van Niekerk scores higher on honours, longevity. Kiptum leads on peak, dominance, statistics.
Both are scored on peak, dominance, honours, statistics, longevity within their sport. Kiptum: 83.0, van Niekerk: 82.9.
Make your case for Kiptum vs van Niekerk. The scoring is published in full — if you can point at the pillar or the weight you disagree with, we read it. Read the methodology paper.