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King vs Adrian

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GOAT verdictgoatrank.world
AdrianWinner
87.3

Adrian wins: Longevity, Statistics

King
87.1

King wins: Dominance

Candidates
Locked to Swimming

Shareable URL · /compare/lilly-king-vs-nathan-adrian

Time range

Showing full careers. Pick a window to recalculate the selected period.

Category radar

Verdict

Weighted GOAT score
🇺🇸 Nathan Adrian
87.3

Adrian leads in 4 of 5 weighted categories. Olympic 100 m freestyle champion in 2012 and an eight-time Olympic medallist.

1. Nathan Adrian
87.3
2. Lilly King
87.1

Category breakdown

Season form · Form index per season

Career timeline · Form index per season

Cumulative output season by season — the shape of each career against the other.

GOAT pace tracker

Career stage · GOAT pace

Through season 5 · Form index per season
1. 🇺🇸 Nathan Adrian5 seasons played · career day 2,191240.4 major golds
Setting the pace at this stage
2. 🇺🇸 Lilly King5 seasons played · career day 1,82614 major golds
-94.2% vs Adrian at the same stage
Ghost race · career day30100365100018253650
🇺🇸 King00251226
🇺🇸 Adrian00048.5192.9383.86

Careers are aligned at debut, so a rookie's first 5 seasons are measured against the same window in a legend's career — Yamal against Messi at the same age-stage, a tour rookie against Tiger Woods in 1996.

MetricKingActiveAdrianRetired
Olympic gold medals3
Olympic medals78
World Championship golds127
World records2
NCAA titles8
Olympic golds5
100 m freestyle best47.52
Olympic Games3
Dominance w25%8684
Peak w20%9292
Longevity w20%8284
Honours w20%8888
Statistics w15%8890

Fan vote — data vs the people

GOAT Rank · the data
Adrian87.3
King87.1
The people
King
Adrian

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Make your case for King vs Adrian. The scoring is published in full — if you can point at the pillar or the weight you disagree with, we read it. Read the methodology paper.

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