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Aoki vs Watanabe

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GOAT verdictgoatrank.world
WatanabeWinner
78.8

Watanabe wins: Longevity, Statistics

Aoki
78.7

Aoki wins: Dominance, Peak, Honours

Candidates
Locked to Swimming

Shareable URL · /compare/mayumi-aoki-vs-ippei-watanabe

Time range

Showing full careers. Pick a window to recalculate the selected period.

Category radar

Verdict

Weighted GOAT score
🇯🇵 Ippei Watanabe
78.8

Watanabe leads in 2 of 5 weighted categories. First man under 2:07 in the 200 m breaststroke with a world record in 2017.

1. Ippei Watanabe
78.8
2. Mayumi Aoki
78.7

Category breakdown

Season form · Form index per season

Career timeline · Form index per season

Cumulative output season by season — the shape of each career against the other.

GOAT pace tracker

Career stage · GOAT pace

Through season 5 · Form index per season
1. 🇯🇵 Ippei Watanabe5 seasons played · career day 1,825387 major golds
Setting the pace at this stage
2. 🇯🇵 Mayumi Aoki5 seasons played · career day 1,825379 major golds
-2.1% vs Watanabe at the same stage
Ghost race · career day30100365100018253650
🇯🇵 Aoki0055121379571
🇯🇵 Watanabe0055123387699

Careers are aligned at debut, so a rookie's first 5 seasons are measured against the same window in a legend's career — Yamal against Messi at the same age-stage, a tour rookie against Tiger Woods in 1996.

MetricAokiRetiredWatanabeActive
Olympic gold medals1
World records11
Asian Games golds21
Japanese national titles8
Olympic Games contested22
World Championship medals1
Japanese titles5
Dominance w25%7874
Peak w20%9290
Longevity w20%6272
Honours w20%8278
Statistics w15%8082

Fan vote — data vs the people

GOAT Rank · the data
Watanabe78.8
Aoki78.7
The people
Aoki
Watanabe

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Make your case for Aoki vs Watanabe. The scoring is published in full — if you can point at the pillar or the weight you disagree with, we read it. Read the methodology paper.

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