Who is better, Holmgren or III?
Chet Holmgren leads with a GOAT score of 49.3 against 48.9 for Marvin Bagley III — a gap of 0.4 points on GOAT Rank's weighted model.
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Holmgren vs III
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GOAT verdictgoatrank.world
HolmgrenWinner
49.3Holmgren wins: Dominance, Peak, Honours
III
48.9III wins: Longevity, Statistics
Candidates
Locked to BasketballShareable URL · /compare/ros-chet-holmgren-vs-ros-marvin-bagley-iii
Time range
Showing full careers. Pick a window to recalculate the selected period.
Category radar
Verdict
Weighted GOAT score
🏳️ Chet Holmgren
49.3
Holmgren leads in 3 of 5 weighted categories.
1. Chet Holmgren
2. Marvin Bagley III
Category breakdown
Season form · Points per game
Career timeline · Points per game
Cumulative output season by season — the shape of each career against the other.
GOAT pace tracker
Career stage · GOAT pace
Through season 5 · Points per game1. 🏳️ Marvin Bagley III5 seasons played · career day 1,8253,303 points per game
Setting the pace at this stage
2. 🏳️ Chet Holmgren3 seasons played · career day 1,0953,013 points per game
-8.8% vs III at the same stage
| Ghost race · career day | 30 | 100 | 365 | 1000 | 1825 | 3650 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏳️ Holmgren | 0 | 0 | 1,353 | 1,833 | 3,013 | 3,013 |
| 🏳️ III | 0 | 0 | 924 | 1,109 | 3,303 | 6,000 |
Careers are aligned from debut; the first 5 season periods are measured against the same career window.
| Metric | HolmgrenActive · Oklahoma City Thunder | IIIActive · Denver Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| NBA games | 183 | 538 |
| NBA points | 3,013 | 6,000 |
| NBA award: All-NBA 3rd Team | 1 | — |
| NBA award: All-Defensive 1st Team | 1 | — |
| NBA award: All-Rookie 1st Team | 1 | 1 |
| Number | 7 | 3 |
| Atlantic Coast Conference Men's Basketball Player of the Year | — | 1 |
| Atlantic Coast Conference Men's Basketball Rookie of the Year | — | 1 |
| Dominance w25% | 51.8 | 44.6 |
| Peak w20% | 65.5 | 63.2 |
| Longevity w20% | 34.6 | 50.6 |
| Honours w20% | 38 | 26 |
| Statistics w15% | 58 | 65.6 |
Fan vote — data vs the people
GOAT Rank · the data
Holmgren49.3
III48.9
FAQ
Where does III beat Holmgren?
III scores higher on statistics, longevity. Holmgren leads on peak, dominance, honours.
How is the Holmgren vs III score calculated?
Both are scored on peak, dominance, honours, statistics, longevity within their sport. Holmgren: 49.3, III: 48.9.
What do you think?
0 commentsMake your case for Holmgren vs III. The scoring is published in full — if you can point at the pillar or the weight you disagree with, we read it. Read the methodology paper.