Who is better, Ayton or III?
Deandre Ayton leads with a GOAT score of 49.0 against 48.9 for Marvin Bagley III — a gap of 0.1 points on GOAT Rank's weighted model.
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Ayton wins: Statistics
III wins: Dominance, Peak
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Showing full careers. Pick a window to recalculate the selected period.
Ayton leads in 3 of 5 weighted categories.
Cumulative output season by season — the shape of each career against the other.
| Ghost race · career day | 30 | 100 | 365 | 1000 | 1825 | 3650 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏳️ Ayton | 0 | 0 | 1,157 | 1,849 | 5,047 | 7,441 |
| 🏳️ III | 0 | 0 | 924 | 1,109 | 3,303 | 6,000 |
Careers are aligned from debut; the first 5 season periods are measured against the same career window.
| Metric | AytonActive · Washington Wizards | IIIActive · Denver Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| NBA games | 470 | 538 |
| NBA points | 7,441 | 6,000 |
| NBA award: All-Rookie 1st Team | 1 | 1 |
| Number | 8 | 3 |
| Atlantic Coast Conference Men's Basketball Player of the Year | — | 1 |
| Atlantic Coast Conference Men's Basketball Rookie of the Year | — | 1 |
| Dominance w25% | 44.1 | 44.6 |
| Peak w20% | 62.2 | 63.2 |
| Longevity w20% | 50.6 | 50.6 |
| Honours w20% | 26 | 26 |
| Statistics w15% | 68.2 | 65.6 |
Deandre Ayton leads with a GOAT score of 49.0 against 48.9 for Marvin Bagley III — a gap of 0.1 points on GOAT Rank's weighted model.
III scores higher on peak, dominance. Ayton leads on statistics.
Both are scored on peak, dominance, honours, statistics, longevity within their sport. Ayton: 49.0, III: 48.9.
Make your case for Ayton vs III. The scoring is published in full — if you can point at the pillar or the weight you disagree with, we read it. Read the methodology paper.