Who is better, Herbert or Darnold?
Sam Darnold leads with a GOAT score of 53.6 against 52.8 for Justin Herbert — a gap of 0.8 points on GOAT Rank's weighted model.
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Darnold wins: Longevity
Herbert wins: Dominance, Peak, Statistics
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Showing full careers. Pick a window to recalculate the selected period.
Darnold leads in 2 of 5 weighted categories.
Cumulative output season by season — the shape of each career against the other.
| Ghost race · career day | 30 | 100 | 365 | 1000 | 1825 | 3650 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏳️ Herbert | 0 | 0 | 4,570 | 9,886 | 18,134 | 26,535 |
| 🏳️ Darnold | 0 | 0 | 3,003 | 6,089 | 12,512 | 21,498 |
Careers are aligned from debut; the first 5 season periods are measured against the same career window.
| Metric | HerbertActive · Los Angeles Chargers | DarnoldActive · Seattle Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| NFL games | 95 | 100 |
| NFL yards | 26,535 | 21,498 |
| NFL award: NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year | 1 | — |
| Number | 10 | 14 |
| NFL award: Archie Griffin Award | — | 1 |
| Archie Griffin Award | — | 1 |
| Dominance w25% | 50.4 | 49.8 |
| Peak w20% | 74.8 | 73.6 |
| Longevity w20% | 44.2 | 50.6 |
| Honours w20% | 26 | 26 |
| Statistics w15% | 74.4 | 73.9 |
Sam Darnold leads with a GOAT score of 53.6 against 52.8 for Justin Herbert — a gap of 0.8 points on GOAT Rank's weighted model.
Herbert scores higher on peak, dominance, statistics. Darnold leads on longevity.
Both are scored on peak, dominance, honours, statistics, longevity within their sport. Herbert: 52.8, Darnold: 53.6.
Make your case for Herbert vs Darnold. The scoring is published in full — if you can point at the pillar or the weight you disagree with, we read it. Read the methodology paper.