Who is better, Varland or Smith?
Pavin Smith leads with a GOAT score of 51.3 against 51.0 for Louis Varland — a gap of 0.3 points on GOAT Rank's weighted model.
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Smith wins: Longevity, Honours
Varland wins: Dominance, Peak, Statistics
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Showing full careers. Pick a window to recalculate the selected period.
Smith leads in 2 of 5 weighted categories.
Cumulative output season by season — the shape of each career against the other.
| Ghost race · career day | 30 | 100 | 365 | 1000 | 1825 | 3650 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏳️ Varland | 0 | 0 | 21 | 92 | 386 | 386 |
| 🏳️ Smith | 0 | 0 | 10 | 143 | 233 | 352 |
Careers are aligned from debut; the first 5 season periods are measured against the same career window.
| Metric | VarlandActive · Toronto Blue Jays | SmithActive · Arizona Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| MLB games | 182 | 485 |
| MLB wins | 18 | — |
| MLB strikeouts | 386 | — |
| MLB award: MiLB.com Organization All-Star | 1 | — |
| MLB award: INT Post-Season All-Star | 1 | — |
| MLB award: AL All-Star | 1 | — |
| Major League Baseball All-Star | 1 | — |
| Number | 77 | 26 |
| MLB hits | — | 352 |
| MLB home runs | — | 48 |
| MLB award: NWL Mid-Season All-Star | — | 1 |
| MLB award: Baseball America Short-Season All-Star | — | 1 |
| MLB award: SOU Post-Season All-Star | — | 1 |
| MLB award: Diamondbacks Rookie of the Year | — | 1 |
| Dominance w25% | 51.4 | 51 |
| Peak w20% | 64.8 | 58 |
| Longevity w20% | 41 | 47.4 |
| Honours w20% | 38 | 44 |
| Statistics w15% | 62.4 | 57.5 |
Pavin Smith leads with a GOAT score of 51.3 against 51.0 for Louis Varland — a gap of 0.3 points on GOAT Rank's weighted model.
Varland scores higher on peak, dominance, statistics. Smith leads on honours, longevity.
Both are scored on peak, dominance, honours, statistics, longevity within their sport. Varland: 51.0, Smith: 51.3.
Make your case for Varland vs Smith. The scoring is published in full — if you can point at the pillar or the weight you disagree with, we read it. Read the methodology paper.